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Shocking Stocks Short Selling Facts!

March 10th, 2010 Ahmad Hassam No comments

Many brokerage firms make it easy to sell short. When you place the order to sell a stock, the brokerage asks you whether you are selling shares you own or selling short. In case of short selling, the brokerage firm goes about borrowing the shares for you to sell. It loans the shares to your account and executes the sell order.

In some cases,a stock gets so much shorted that there are no more shares of that stock left for you or your broker to borrow anymore. Now, you cannot always short a stock instantly. Most of the investors work on rumors. In that case, you simple will have to cross your fingers and see how the other short sellers do on that stock while you search for another stock to short!

Now, day traders are not fundamental traders. Day traders are simply interested in the daily volatility in the stock. Most even don’t do any financial or fundamental analysis of the companies whose stocks they are trading. Almost all are technicians or what you call technical analysis experts. Now, shorting is one of the favorite strategies employed by day traders. A day trader may short stock on the mundane reason like its price had been going up for three days and it’s time to come down!

You have to be careful about the uptick rule as stock exchanges have rules in place to help maintain an upward bias in the stock market. What this means is that you can only short a stock when the last trade was a move up. In other words, you can’t short a stock that is moving down.

Now you have to be careful when shorting a stock as certain risks are involved. In theory, there is no limit on how high a stock price can go high. So when betting on something going wrong, if you yourself go wrong, the potential loss in case of a stock price going up can be immense.

Now, don’t get caught in the market with short selling when good news spreads about the stock that you had shorted driving its price up. This is known as Short Squeeze. Once that happens, almost all short sellers get desperate to dump their stocks and exit but when they try to buy back the stock, they get more hurt as the prices go even higher and higher on rising demand for the stock in the market.

As said before, companies, investors and many brokers hate short sellers. They think that short sellers had intentionally driven down the stock prices. So sometimes, they will spread rumors of good news to create a momentary short squeeze. Sometimes, a campaign will be started by the owners of a particular stock instructing their brokers not to loan out their stocks to short sellers. So if you have already shorted that stock, you might get a call from your broker to return that stock immediately. In such a case, you will have to immediately return the stock even if it doesn’t make any sense to you!

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The Truth About Automated Forex Trading Systems

March 9th, 2010 Bernard McMillan No comments

Forex trading is highly speculative in nature which means, currency prices may become extremely volatile. Forex trading is highly leveraged, since low margin deposits normally are required, an extremely high degree of leverage is obtainable. Forex trading is done through quotes that indicate the rate of exchange of one currency in terms of another.

Currency trading is a global activity. Every country in the world uses money and needs to change that money into other currencies in order to trade or interact with other nations. Currency trading is as risky financially, so it is recommended to trade using a demo account at first. A demo account, also known as practice account is a good way to start. Brokers will let you use a demo account where you can practice with fake money. Just use that until you are comfortable. You can learn the basics by reading books and taking online courses, but the best way to learn is by getting hands-on experience.

Traders and investors, especially those new to trading, discover that it’s quite useful. Trade orders are entered by you into your trading platform, and the trade is managed manually all the way through to completion. Trades can be executed around the clock. Opportunities on the market can be captured by the automated Forex system that would otherwise be missed by a human being.

Automated Trading System is still a machine, whether it is meant to help you ninety-nine percent, there should still be room for you to check and view results. When you have a wrong view of what is happening, definitely Auto Forex System Trading will fail you also.

Just like any other business, Forex Trading is risky, and the only ones who succeed in the Forex market are those people who stay disciplined despite their success or failure. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. If you are new to trading, I recommend that you learn the basics of trading, either by reading Forex materials or even getting a Forex trading tutorial course. Believe me, doing that will save you time, money and you will feel more confident when trading.

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My Thoughts On Forex Autopilot

March 8th, 2010 Beverly Mccray No comments

If you scan the internet, you will find out that a new trading robot gets released almost every month.

So with a number of these programs floating in the internet, I can just imagine how confusing it might be for consumers to pick out the right one.

The newest of these trading programs is Forex Autopilot. Forex Autopilot is an automated forex trading program that is used with metatrader platform.

It was created by Marcus Leary, a day trader by profession. It claims that it can make first time foreign exchange traders filthy rich just by clicking a few times throughout the entire day.

You may find this claim quite outrageous and outright exaggerated, but some people just can’t get the thought of getting rich quick out of their minds that they go on to purchase the product without even knowing anything about it.

Before you get into any decision, it’s imperative that you know what you’re getting into.

What really then is Forex Autopilot? In a nutshell, Forex Autopilot is a kind of automated currency trading bot that can trade on your behalf by using a fund that you have initially set-up.

However, it doesn’t work that easy. Before you can get the program to work independently, you need to set the parameters which require knowledge on the foreign exchange.

But if you are uncertain of the entire program, there is a demonstration mode that you can access which includes a dummy account that you can run for as long as you want which you can use to practice on until you get the hang of things and progress to using real money.

As advertised, I have found out that Forex Autopilot is an accurate trading bot and that losses do not usually happen. However, when they do, the loss is usually a significant amount which can damage your profits.

Just so that you do not lose that much, never risk more than 50% of your capital even if the gains may not be that high.

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Three Best Trend Following Indicators

March 7th, 2010 Michael Janston No comments

Stock market trading has faced many ups and downs recently. Each market in the world has its own trend. An investor has to follow the trend to get decent profits. In the next few lines we shall see Markets’ three best trend following indicators.

The thing which helps the investors to earn money through the ups and downs is called trend following. The investors which use the successful strategy to earn money can tell everyone that this phenomenal robot really works and can help you very much to earn extra money. You only have to sit back and trend when you see a good value.

Let us look at breakouts first. You can trade the breakouts to new highs and lows. Check momentum it will support this move if it occurs. Use the RSI also called the “relative strength index” for checking if momentum is accelerating. Enter the market if it does so. For information on RSI please visit the website Trendfollowingstrategies.com.

Secondly let us talk about dips. Trends tend to move too far in a quick period. To be overbought and oversold these trends ought to level the price. If you have eighteen days moving average. Take the profits when the prices come to an average rate.

Finally let us see the stops. Dips tend to see the market trend over an 18 day period. But to follow the large trends you should notice the trend periodically to understand it clearly for some time. Map the trend from start over a 40 day MA. If the price goes above forty then you can book profit and take large sum of gain.

So we have seen the indicators used in the trend following. Best results are extracted from following the long term trends. Visit the website Trendfollowingstrategies.com, for technical terms. And visit the site Todayhotstocks.com. to see what are the major stocks that you can invest on.

Find more on trend following systems and trend following Michael.

Profitable Candlestick Patterns -Bullish Necklines, Bearish Meeting Lines & bearish Piercing Line

March 5th, 2010 Ahmad Hassam No comments

Trend is your friend. But how do you know it is really your friend. Trend can only be your friend if you know that the trend is going to continue or it is about to reverse ahead. Otherwize, trend trading is going to give you a loss. Candlestick patterns can help you anticipate whether a trend is going to continue or reverse ahead. There are many candlestick patterns. Bullish Necklines is one of them. It is a two stick trend confirmation pattern that tells that the trend is expected to continue. There are two type of Neckline Patterns, the In Neck and the Out Neck. When you spot the Bullish Neckline in an uptrend, it is a signal that the trend is expected to continue for sometime.

On the first day, there will be a long bullish candle indicating that heavy buying took place during the day. On the second day or what you call the signal day, there will be a bearish candle that can be long or short with a closing price almost close to the first day. Necklines pattern is a two stick pattern. What this means is that it takes two days on the daily chart for this pattern to form.

Now,there can be two types of Neckline Patterns depending on the closing prices on the signal and the setup days. If the closing price on the signal day is almost near the closing price on the setup day, it is an On Neck Pattern. In case, if the closing price on the first day is little lower than the closing price on the signal day, it is a In Neck Pattern.

Not much of a difference but you should nevertheless know this difference. Both on neck and in neck pattern tell the same story, so even if you are not able of distinguish between them, doesn’t make much of a difference. When this pattern appears in an uptrend, it means that the uptrend will continue in the future.

Now, let’s talk about a trend reversal candlestick pattern; The Bearish Meeting Line. On the first day or what you call the setup day, you will find a long bullish candle.What this means is that heavy buying took place throughout the day. On the second day or what you call the signal day, you will find a gap opening. This is a Bearish Meeting Line Trend Reversal Pattern. What is means is that the trend is about to reverse itself soon! This gap entices the sellers to start selling that continues throughout the day. This will result in a long bearish candle on the second or what you call the signal day. This long bearish candle should have a close very near the open of the low of the day as well as the close should be very near to the close on the first or what you call the setup day.

Another trend reversal pattern is the Bearish Piercing Ling Pattern. This candlestick pattern is formed when on the first or the setup day, a bullish long candle is formed meaning that the bulls have been in control of the market throughout the day. The second day or what you call the signal day, there will be a bearish candle formed. This bearish candle should have an opening higher than the first day’s high. This means that on the second day or what you call the signal day, the sellers started selling pushing the price action down past the opening price to the midpoint of the first day candle.

This is a trend reversal pattern that usually occurs in the last stages of an uptrend. The price is still rising but it has lost its momentum. Now as a trader, when you combine these candlestick patterns with technical indicators, you get a powerful tool in your arsenal.

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Bullish Or Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Patterns Can Be Highly Profitable

March 3rd, 2010 Hassam Ahmad No comments

There are three types of candlestick patterns. One stick,two stick and three stick. Single or one stick patterns are simple and easy to spot. Two stick and three stick patterns do not appear frequently but if they do and are spotted correctly, they can be highly profitable. Engulfing candlestick patterns can be bullish as well as bearish and if spotted correctly can be highly profitable trading signals. Engulfing candlestick patterns heralds the reversal of a trend and can be considered to be important trend reversal patterns.

Now two stick candlestick patterns are more complex. It takes two trading days for the two sticks to form on the daily charts. On the first day if you find a two stick pattern forming, you will have to wait for the end of the second trading day for confirmation. Most of the time, it will happen that you find the pattern forming on the first day. But on the second day, your hopes get dashed when the pattern fizzles out and there is no trading signal for you!

There are trend continuation patterns and trend reversal patterns. An Engulfing Candlestick Pattern is a very important trading signal about the reversal of a trend. Two stick patterns are rare! However, it doesn’t mean that these two stick candlestick patterns do not form at all. They do! But don’t frequently. So if are able to spot a two stick pattern correctly, you can make a highly profitable trade.

A Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern has a candle on the second day that completely covers the first day bullish candle. The open on the second day candle is lower than the open on the first day.

What this means is that bears are still in control of the market. Remember, a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern has to appear in a downtrend to be meaningful. But when this appears, it means that bulls will soon take control of the market and overcome the bears. When the bulls get into action, so much buying takes place that opena and high of the previous day both are surpassed.

When a Bearish Candlestick Pattern appears bears get into action. This pattern has to appear in an uptrend in order to be meaningful. Short sellers think that the prices have gone too high and start massive selling in order to take profit and exit before others also start selling.

Soon, the price of the security is pushed down lower than the open of the first day. The second day candle is bearish and completely covers the first day candle. When the bearish engulfing pattern appears, it is an indication that the uptrend has reversed and a downtrend has started now.

Never ever trade without putting the stop loss because nothing is 100% certain in trading. A candlestick pattern has to be confirmed by the subsequent price action on the following days. Now, the most important thing for any trader is where to place the stop loss. In case of a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern, place ths top loss on the low of the first day to be on the safe side. And in case of a bearish engulfing pattern, place the stop loss near the open of the second or signal day. This way even if the pattern is not confirmed with the subsequent price action, you are on the safe side. Happy trading!

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report FREE. Master these Candlestick Patterns with this 82 Page FREE PDF Candlestick Guide.

Etf Trading Strategies: The Secrets To A Successful Trade

March 1st, 2010 Mark Chaplain No comments

There has been many books written and a lot has been said about etf trading in general. There are also a number of books that talk about etf trading strategies but there is probably no one complete book that describes etf trading from A to Z. The knowledge however you get from these books can help you become a better etf trader by helping you hone your etf trading strategies. You also get to learn a lot especially from the mistakes from others.

ETF trading strategies is all about trading using the right combination of technique and mindset. There are so many things you can learn which will help you apply them to your own eft trading strategies. So having multiple sources of good information is imperative.

One of the things that will really help you develop good etf trading strategies is hearing and reading other’s stories. Learn what they did that helped them succeed and where they went wrong. Your job as a trader and a learner is experiment but not repeat the mistakes of others rather duplicate the success of others. Also the story needs to be able to resonate or strike a chord with you.

The etf market is constantly in the process of change the market today will never be the same so there is no real way for you to know how the market will be the same day but a year from now. You cannot predict the market’s trend and there are also times when you need to trade against the market’s flow if you want to make money. You need to know when you set with strategy in motion.

Traders who have been trading for a while will begin to develop their own personal form and style of trading. This will largely be based on their experience as well as the markets they have chosen.

As the market changes you need to be able to change your etf trading strategies to what you think the market is doing. You also don’t have much time since many of these changes come into effect without any notice.

When the markets change so do our etf trading strategies in order to adapt and cope with the ever changing market climate. Market patters and conditions mostly change without notice and don’t have a set of predictable patters. So over a period of time you might still not be able to formulate a set of rules or stats which will help you read the future and make profitable trades.

You need to develop a sense for the market and feel the change in the market. This is something you can learn but it take time. Effective etf trading strategies are flexible and suit your mindset and style.

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How To Back Test Your Trading System? Know These Shocking Limitations!

February 28th, 2010 Ahmad Hassam No comments

Developing a trading system is not easy. It requires first of all good trading experience. Than you need to test your trading system under live trading conditions. It might take time as well as involve the risk of losing money. To overcome this difficulty in testing a trading system or a trading strategy, backtesting has been developed. Backtesting is possible with the use of software. A trading system might comprise of a set of two or more indicators with a set of rules that tell when to enter or exit the trade.

How to do backtesting? Backtesting uses historical data to test the performance of the trading system under the past market conditions. Using a backtesting software makes it very simple and easy.

Now, back testing is done with historical data. What this means is that although your trading system might perform very well with back testing, it may not work in the present market. Market conditions keep on changing and what worked in the past may not work in the present. In the same way, what didn’t work in the past may start working now.

What we can say is that no two trades are exactly alike. So when you look at back testing results, you should look at them with scepticism. But it doesn’t mean that backtesting is entirely useless!

Back testing can give you a feel how a particular market behaves under certain conditions. Back testing can also spot you certain general characteristics of the market like the seasonal trends and market tendencies.

For example, some markets especially the commodities market is highly seasonal and cyclical in nature. We can take the example of agricultural commodities like wheat, grains,corn, cotton, coffee and stuff like that. In case of the stock market, there is much talk of the January Effect. Well, it is there no doubt about it. Some years, it is highly pronounced and others it is not that pronounced. Similarly stock prices tend to rise at the end of each month and the first few days of the new months. The reason for this is that many institutional investors tend to put the new funds to work at the end of the month and the beginning of the new month! Now in other markets, you might not find any seasonal trends. For example, there is very little seasonality in curreny market or the bond market.

Backtesting can help you figure out how long a trend might last in a particular market. For example, US Dollar Index trendlines might last for months to years. In other markets too backtesting can help you figure out important trends that lasts for last times.

But to tell you the truth, backtesting can only give you a rough guess about the performance of the trading system under live trading conditions. There is no substitute for live trading results!

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Momentum Investing Shocking Secrets

February 27th, 2010 Ahmad Hassam No comments

Investment is always long term whereas trading is always short term. Day trading always has got a short term perspective and requires quick reflexes. Now day trading is not possible for many investors. Many people have a long term perspective. They feel more comfortable thinking about their long term financial goals and matching them with their investment strategies over months and even years.

An investor might have to wait for a long time before realizing a return on his or her investment. Many investors can learn a few tricks from day traders that can help them make a quick profit in a matter of days orn weeks instead of months or years. Now a company’s stock may have a good long term prospects supported by strong fundamentals. But the stock may stay still for a long time before it catches the attention of the media and the investing public before it’s price get’s bid up.

Many investors when they fall in love with their investments on the long run forget this cardinal rule of trading that you have to cut your losses. Market least care who you are and how long you have been in it.There is a general problem with so many investors. They fall in love with their investment after doing so much research and committing so much time for the position to work. Now, day traders are always hit and run types. They have developed an innate sense of discipline among themselves that teaches them when to commit money to a trade and when to cut and run.

When, there is momentum behind a security, it means that it’s price will continue to icnrease as long as it has got momentum. This way by investing in stocks having momentum behind them, you avoid the risk of getting stuck in stocks that might not move for months and months.

When investing, you try to buy low and sell high. In momentum investing, you buy high and sell even higher! One of the tricks that you can learn from day traders is momentum investing. In momentum investing, you look for securities that are expected to go up in prices accompanied by the underlying momentum. Now, when the price of a stock or security increases because of strong demand, it is said to have momentum behind it.

Now most serious momentum investors are infact swing traders who hold positions for a few weeks or a few months. Most of them employ some sort of momentum indicators to help them identify when it is good time to buy a stock. Some of the indicators that can be used is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) and the Stochastic Index.

However, if too many investors start practicing momentum investing, it sometimes leads to bubbles like the tech bubble that happened at the end of 1990s. Now, when doing momentum investing, you need to also do some fundamental research behind the company. As most of the momentum investing done during the dot com bubble was on hearsay without being supported by any strong fundamentals!

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How to Reduce Your Investment Risk

February 25th, 2010 Mike Wong No comments

When it comes to investment, hedging is not a strange word. Though many of you have already heard of the name hedging, not many of you may be able to explain what hedging is. Without the ability to explain the term, I guess you have not yet participated in the hedging world, which actually can be useful to protect yourself. Let us now understand it.

Why there are so many people and well established enterprises use hedging? You need opportunities from investments. But no free lunch, there are risks linked to such investments. To reduce the risks on such investments, many of them choose hedging as one of the methods. There are many different types of hedging products available to cover different types of investments. You can find foreign currency ones, interest rate ones, future ones, options ones and stock price ones.

You have to remember the golden rule that hedging is not a way to help you earn more money. It is a tool to help you reduce the risk. By that, you will invest in two different products that are negatively correlated. The risk is reduced by the offset between the gain and the loss from each of the investment. Or, when investment A is in a gain position, investment is on the contrary a loss position. The gain offsets the loss.

As you see from the case of investment A and B, you will know that the risk of losing money from investment B is hedged by the gain in investment A. On the other hand, you can think that the gain in investment A is unluckily reduced by the loss in investment B. It is true that the possible earning from the total investment portfolio can be lower is the risk is hedged. It makes sense as the lower the risk, the lower should be the opportunity and earning.

To illustrate more clearly, we can now assume a case with interest rate swap. Assume that you have borrowed a $60,000 loan from a bank. No doubt, the bank will charge you interest say at LIBOR + 2%. As an interest payer, you must be concerned that the interest rate may increase. Therefore, you enter into an interest rate swap with the bank to receive a floating interest income at LIBOR + 2%.

When it comes to such hedging instrument, you have a choice to decide if you want to fully hedge or partly hedge. You can enter into a $30,000 hedge or a full hedge of $60,000. Why you want to do so? It is because there is tradeoff between you risks and opportunities. For simple explanation, I assume you have entered into a $60,000 hedge that you receive interest income.

When the interest rate increases, you have to pay more interest for your loan, but you receive more interest income on the other hand. If interest rate decreases, you can pay less interest for your loan, but your interest income also decreases. For explanation, hedging can be simple. But in real case, you may not find the hedging is such a perfect hedge that all your risks can be completely eliminated.

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