The Key To Trading: Knowing That You Dont Know
Let's go straight to the point...how to trading consistently. In reality, there are no holy grails, no simple, fast track strategies to trading con...
Let’s go straight to the point…how to trading consistently.
In reality, there are no holy grails, no simple, fast track strategies to trading consistently. Surf up trading strategies on the net. There are literally dozens of “would be” gurus selling snake oil trading strategies. There is a website dedicated to selling nothing but cheap $50-200 strategies. Be realistic, if these were such hot strategies, why would someone want to sell them for a mere $50?
You see, trading successfully is more than just opening a brokerage account, funding it with $5,000, and then “trading” live. The key to being a consistent trader is understandting that you know you don’t know. All ego aside, once you realize you know you don’t know, you are on the path to becoming a consistent trader.
There are two vital concepts you need to grasp. First, you need to figure out just how the market trades, its underlying characteristics. For example, what time of day is best to trade. What kind of traders are trading at that time? What profit target do you think you can expect? How much of stop loss will you need to trade with?
The second point you need to learn, and much more important than the first, is that you need to know yourself. You need to understand your own underlying behavior when you are trading. Trading is a mental game. Anyone playing the game must overcome their own personal “psychology”, their own fears and greed.
Overcoming the first thing is easier than the second. Getting a basic education on trading, hard work, and trading live will help handle your first obstacle. Overcoming the second thing, well that’s a different matter. But just admitting that you know you don’t know, that puts you on the track to handling your own psychology.
Why is knowing you don’t know important? Look at it this way. Someone who spends hours in front of a computer playing games is not necessarily able to build his own computer. He’ll need some experience first just to find out which computer parts/operating systems are compatible. If the game player is smart, he’ll do some research, talk to some computer geeks, and figure out just what he needs for a hot machine. The same thing applies to a trader. Just funding an account doesn’t make you a trader.
One of the key differences between novice traders and seasoned veterans is that the seasoned veteran knows he does not know. Experience has taught him that there are things about trading even seasoned veterans will never know, probably because they are simply unknowable. He’ll know he has to do research, figure out how the Market trades, etc.
At best, it is difficult to predict Market trends. If you watch any of the business news channels, you will see so many pundits explaining what they know, explaining where the Market is going. Of course, these are the same gurus who said that the Market crash in 2008 could never happen. They were buying when the Market was just beginning to tank, and they continued to buy in disbelief. Trading is not a business of predictions. Trading is the business of high probabilities, based upon real experience, research, and human reaction. The only trading secret that you can trust is knowing that you don’t know what the Market will do. That makes you a better trader because chances are, you will be more cautious. You will have designed a conservative emergency plan just in case the Market turns against your trade. The one thing you can know for sure is that some day, you will have trades that go against you.
Knowing you don’t know is helpful to your success as a trader, it’s not detrimental.
Barbara Cohen has been a professional day trader for over 10 years. She has trained hundreds of students in trading futures with Shadowtraders trading strategies. As the CIO, Barbara moderates Shadowtraders daily online trading chat room. Before you purchase any trading education, make sure you attend Shadowtraders , and